Do models trained on sampled landscapes still work in the areas nobody sampled?

Ph.D. research at Kyushu University maps coffee production systems in Dak Lak, Vietnam, from Sentinel-2, Landsat, Sentinel-1 and terrain data, and is developing forecasts of Robusta coffee production. The models are interpreted with SHAP, and spatial block cross-validation tests how far their accuracy carries beyond the training areas.

Mapping tree-crop landscapes

Coffee production-system classes that were well separated within sampled landscapes were poorly separated in areas held out from training.

Multi-sensor satellite data are combined into yearly maps of coffee production systems, and the same data support production forecasts.

2026 · Remote Sensing Applications: Society and Environment

Coffee-system classes transfer poorly beyond sampled landscapes

A 2024 map of coffee production systems in Dak Lak reached 95.9% overall accuracy and a coffee-subclass macro F1 of 0.91 under cross-validation within sampled landscapes; when whole 10–20 km blocks were held out, the coffee-subclass macro F1 fell to 0.14–0.37.

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